Pre-launch · Decision intelligence for LPs

Turn LP uncertainty into risk-aware decisions.

Evaluate range risk, expected fees and modeled LP outcomes before allocating capital.

Request Early Access See how it works

Priority access · 7-Day Pro Trial at launch

Product statusIn development · Early access waitlist open

Strategy intelligence

Illustrative preview

WETH / USDC

Uniswap v3 · 0.05% fee tier

MODERATERange -4.0% / +4.0%

Modeled price path

24h history · 24h probabilistic outlook

Illustrative capital

Position composition

Total · $25,000

WETH

3.8289

≈ $12,252

USDC

12,747.57

≈ $12,748

Capital

$25,000

Selected liquidity

Capital: $25,000
24h exit risk: 40%
Expected fees: $84
Expected net PnL: +$53

Strategy signal · preview

Maintain range and monitor

Suggested

-4.3% / +4.3%

Illustrative product preview. Forecasts are not live. Not financial advice.

Real-Time Data
Scenario Modeling
Risk Management
LP Simulation
24/7 Monitoring

The concentrated liquidity problem

Providing liquidity is easy. Managing it isn't.

Every range is a live trade-off. More fee concentration can mean less room for the market to move—and risk changes long before a static APR can tell you why.

Capital efficiency

Fee concentration

Volatility exposure

Rebalance costs

RANGE LAB

Same market. Different risk profile.

Concept view

NARROW RANGE

±2.0%

HIGHER RISK

LowerUpper

Capital efficiencyHigher

Fee concentrationHigher

Out-of-range exposureHigher

WIDE RANGE

±8.0%

MORE ROOM

LowerUpper

Market toleranceHigher

Capital efficiencyLower

Out-of-range exposureLower

Neither range is inherently “better.” The right decision depends on market state, horizon, costs and your risk tolerance.

The intelligence layer

Meet the LP Intelligence Engine.

A decision layer being developed to combine market data, probabilistic forecasting and LP economics.

Product capability preview

On-chain market data

Price · volume · liquidity · flow

Real-time feature engine

Market state · regimes · signals

Probabilistic models

Probabilities · horizons · scenarios

Risk & economic engine

Fees · IL · costs · downside

LP decision intelligence

Compare · monitor · decide

Core outputs

Your strategy, quantified.

Estimate range risk, fees and net outcomes for a position. Compare how each strategy changes the result.

Range RiskMODERATE

40%

Probability of leaving the selected range within 24h

Illustrative preview

Time-to-ExitMEDIAN

15.4h

Estimated time until the position first leaves the selected range

Illustrative preview

Expected Fees80% INTERVAL

$84

Estimated 24h fee generation across modeled scenarios

Illustrative preview

Net LP OutcomeMEDIAN

+$53

Expected fees combined with modeled IL impact and estimated costs

Illustrative preview

Strategy recommendationPRODUCT PREVIEW

Suggested decision

Widen range -4.3% / +4.3%

In this 24h illustration, a wider range increases market tolerance while reducing fee concentration.

Explore the illustrative simulator

CURRENT RISK

MODERATE · 40%

EXPECTED NET PNL

+$53

DECISION HORIZON

24 hours

NET OUTCOME SCENARIOS

p10 downside−$39

median+$53

p90 upside+$120

Strategy simulator

Simulate before you deploy.

Explore how the engine is being designed to compare range risk, costs, and potential LP outcomes before capital enters a pool.

LP scenario workspace

Illustrative product preview

01 / Strategy inputs

Define the position

Pool

CapitalUSD

Range width±4.0%

Lower3,072

Current3,200

Upper3,328

Horizon

1h4h12h24h

Position composition

Total 25,000 USD

WETH

3.8289

$12,252

USDC

12,747.57

$12,748

Uniswap v3 · WETH / USDC · 0.05% fee tier. Mix estimated from the current price and selected bounds.

Illustrative product preview. Forecasts are not live. Not financial advice.

02 / Illustrative output

Risk-adjusted scenario

Preview recalculated

Range and price scenarios

Uniswap v3 · WETH / USDC · 0.05% fee tier

24h · Projected scenarios

Scenario A12%

3,050 USDC

Outside range

Scenario B28%

3,150 USDC

Inside range

Scenario C42%

3,242 USDC

Inside range

Scenario D18%

3,366 USDC

Outside range

Exit risk

40%

Probability that the position leaves the selected range within the chosen horizon.

Estimated time-to-exit

15.4h

Estimated time until the position first leaves the selected price range. · 24h

Expected fees

$84

Estimated fee generation over the selected horizon

Expected IL

−$22

Illustrative impermanent loss impact

Estimated costs

−$9

Indicative operational and rebalance costs

Expected net PnL

+$53

Expected fees combined with modeled IL impact and estimated costs

Risk intelligence

Position risk

MODERATE

Volatility63%

Range45%

Liquidity29%

IL29%

Costs11%

Illustrative recommendation

Maintain range and monitor

Potential price outcomes shown for product preview.

Current

-4.0% / +4.0%

Suggested

-4.3% / +4.3%

Potential price outcomes shown for product preview.

Illustrative values for product preview only.

Continuous intelligence

Risk intelligence designed for 24/7 markets.

Varqena is being developed to refresh position estimates as price, liquidity and volatility change.

Product capability preview

POOL STATE SUMMARY

Uniswap v3 · WETH / USDC · 0.05% fee tier

24h

Selected horizon

Market regime58%

Active liquidity82%

Scenario dispersion46%

Range positioning71%

Live Market State

Evaluate price, volatility, volume, liquidity and market microstructure.

Continuous Inference

Reassess LP risk as market conditions evolve.

Multi-Horizon Forecasting

Analyze modeled position outcomes across 1h, 4h, 12h and 24h horizons.

Strategy-Aware Modeling

Evaluate the selected range and strategy against the underlying asset.

Risk management

Return is only half the equation.

An APR without its downside is an incomplete answer. Evaluate what may be earned alongside what can move against the position.

Evaluate expected return alongside range risk, IL and costs.

POSITION RISK MAP

Illustrative factor decomposition

MODERATE

Probability that the position leaves the selected range within the chosen horizon. · 24h

Volatility: 63%
Range: 45%
Liquidity: 29%
IL: 29%
Costs: 11%

RISK DIMENSIONS

One position. Multiple exposures.

Out-of-Range Risk

FACTOR 01

Impermanent Loss

FACTOR 02

Volatility Regime

FACTOR 03

Expected Downside

FACTOR 04

Liquidity Conditions

FACTOR 05

Rebalance Costs

FACTOR 06

Tail-Risk Scenarios

FACTOR 07

The planned engine models interactions between factors; this view does not represent live risk analysis.

A different decision layer

Not another APR dashboard.

Historical analytics tell you what happened. Decision intelligence helps you reason about what may happen next.

Traditional LP analytics

LOOK BACK

Historical APR
Current position
Past volume
Current PnL
Static charts

Useful context. Limited foresight.

Decision intelligence

REASON AHEAD

Expected fee ranges
Future range risk
Net PnL scenarios
Strategy simulation
Continuous monitoring

Request early access

Data & trust

Reliable model outputs start with reliable market data.

The architecture centers on traceable market data, reproducible analysis and measurable model outputs.

DESIGN PRINCIPLE

Every model output should be traceable to a market state, a strategy configuration and a defined horizon.

Continuous on-chain ingestion

Designed to preserve a current view of market state.

Historical reconstruction

Rebuild context for training, testing and evaluation.

Data quality validation

Detect gaps, drift and anomalies before inference.

Reproducible feature pipelines

Keep transformations traceable and consistent.

Model monitoring

Measure behavior as markets and inputs change.

Cloud-native architecture

Designed to evolve across markets and protocols.

Model transparency

Probabilities, not promises.

Markets are uncertain. Varqena represents that uncertainty through probabilities, ranges and scenario-based estimates.

Illustrative values for product preview only.

EXPECTED NET LP OUTCOME

Uniswap v3 · WETH / USDC · 0.05% fee tier · 24h

80% modeled interval

p10MEDIANp90

p10

−$38

Downside case

p50

+$69

Median case

p90

+$143

Upper case

Monitoring preview

Keep position risk visible as market conditions change.

Varqena is being developed to track changes in price, range exposure and modeled outcomes.

Risk-aware thresholds
Strategy-specific context
Actionable changes, not noise

Join the early access list

Position watch

Uniswap v3 · WETH / USDC · 0.05% · RANGE #0218

Future preview

Range Risk Increased

18% → 41%

2m ago

Volatility Regime Changed

Moderate → High

18m ago

Net PnL Outlook Changed

Positive → Neutral

41m ago

New Range Opportunity

Alternative range detected

1h ago

Illustrative monitoring preview

How it works

From strategy inputs to a clearer decision.

Set a pool, capital, range and horizon, then compare modeled outcomes.

Define your strategy

Select pool, capital, range and decision horizon.

POOL · CAPITAL · RANGE · HORIZON

Let the engine evaluate it

Market intelligence, probabilistic models and LP economics analyze the strategy.

RISK · FEES · IL · COSTS

Compare decisions

Reason across possible actions with the same assumptions and horizon.

MAINTAIN · WIDEN · NARROW · RECENTER · EXIT

Request early access

Early access

Get early access to a more rigorous approach to LP range management.

Join LPs evaluating range choices, risk and LP economics.

Priority access
Planned 7-Day Pro Trial at launch
Founding member benefits
Early access to new model previews
An opportunity to influence the roadmap

INITIAL FOCUS

Concentrated liquidity in the Uniswap ecosystem, with expansion intended over time.

Early access

Request an invitation.

Tell us how you provide liquidity and where decision intelligence could help most.

No wallet connection required

Email *

Are you currently a Liquidity Provider? *

YesNo

Approximate capital deployed *

What is your biggest LP challenge? *

By requesting early access, you agree to our Terms of Use and confirm that you have read our Privacy Policy. We may contact you about Varqena's development, launch, beta availability and access.

Varqena is in development. Joining the waitlist does not provide financial advice, access to live forecasts or any guarantee of future availability.

FAQ

Good questions deserve clear answers.

How Varqena approaches risk, forecasting and LP decisions.

Still curious? Join the waitlist.

01Is this a trading bot?

No. Varqena is being designed as a decision-intelligence layer for liquidity providers—not an autonomous trading or execution bot.

02Does the platform custody my funds?

No. Custody functionality is not part of the current product vision. The platform is focused on analytics, simulation and decision support.

03Does the AI guarantee returns?

No. Forecasts are probabilistic, model outputs can be wrong, and financial markets remain inherently uncertain.

04Can I simulate a position before providing liquidity?

That is one of the core experiences being designed: evaluate range risk and LP economics before capital is deployed.

05What will the models evaluate?

The system is being designed to evaluate market behavior, volatility, liquidity conditions, flow, range configuration and LP economics, among other signals.

06Which protocols will be supported?

The initial focus is concentrated-liquidity markets in the Uniswap ecosystem, with an architecture intended to support additional CLMMs over time.

07Is the product already available?

Not yet. The product is currently in development. Joining the waitlist gives you priority access to future releases.